Subproject 8


Climate and water cycle analysis for Bavaria using extremely high-resolution regional earth system modeling

The regional water cycle is mainly determined by vegetation, soil, terrain and the

driving atmospheric circulation. Both its short-term and climate-related long-term changes can only be understood with the aid of complex numerical simulations, which take into account in particular small-scale structures. Such a spatially extremely high-resolution simulation is in the focus of subproject 8. Three carefully interconnected computer models for the atmosphere, the land surface and the soil are being developed, combined into a single regional earth system model and operated in very high spatial resolution. This allows us to dynamically regionalise global climate scenarios by simulating all hydrologically relevant processes on a time- and space scale adapted to the target region of Bavaria. 

Regional Earth System Modeling in LandKlif: Fully coupled simulation of the atmospheric and terrestrial water balance.

Through the high-resolution regionalization 1) of a long-term global simulation of the past (serving for validation), and 2) a global climate scenario simulation (describing the expected climate change in the future), for the region of Bavaria a unique data set is developed for climate- and hydrological research and the delineation of adaption measures. This forms a central basis for ecosystem-related climate change impact research in the collaborative project.

Principal investigator: 

Prof. Dr. Harald Kunstmann

Professorship for Regional Climate and Hydrology

Institute of Geography

University of Augsburg

Alter Postweg 118

86135 Augsburg


and Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Campus Alpine

Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research

82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen

Tel: +49 0)8821 183208